Department of Operational Sciences

Department of Operational Sciences
Research Facilities

The Center for Operational Analysis (COA) directs defense relevant research and timely technology transfer in providing approaches and solutions to current and future operational and resource issues while developing critical and forward thinking analysts, managers, and leaders.

Sensor Fusion Laboratory

General Information
Primary Application area: Automatic Target Recognition (ATR)
Another Area of Interest: Digital Image Analysis

Dr. Kenneth Bauer (Operational Sciences Department)
Dr. Mark Oxley
Dr. J.O. Miller

Design and Sensitivity of ATR systems
Engineering Optimization
Emphasis on war-fighter preference
Design through Robust Parameter Design
Linear model and neural network representations

Design through Robust Parameter Design (Hyper-Spectral Imagery)
Evaluation\ Selection of ATR systems
ROC analysis (esp. under fusion)
Keeping a eye towards war-fighter preference

Improvement of ATR systems
Increasing algorithmic processing speed
Syntactic representations

Information theory based Non-declaration/ Out-Of-Library procedures
Robust Operating points
Sensor fusion
Effects of Correlated data

Feature Selection
Hyper-Spectral Imagery
Anomaly detection

Basic Research
A mathematical model for classifier confidence
Out-Of-Library detector

Dr. Kenneth W. Baurer, Jr.
Dr. Mark Oxley (Department of Mathematics & Statistics)


Combat Modeling Laboratory

General Information

The Combat Modeling Lab (CML) is an integral piece of the Center for Operational Analysis and provides direct support to the Department of Operational Sciences, and AFIT at large, by exposing students to a variety of combat models from the Air Force Standard Analysis Toolkit (AFSAT) in their graduate course work and in research projects.

Within the combat modeling curriculum, students are exposed to at least one model from the Mission, and Campaign level.


 Current models used include EADSIM, SEAS, and THUNDER. Recent research projects have been done using these models in addition to BRAWLER and LCOM. We have also have a separate graduate course and research going on in the area of Mobility Modeling. In addition, the Arena Discrete Event Simulation software is used in other simulation courses and for combat modeling research in both the Operations Research and Logistics and Supply Chain Management areas within the Department of Operational Sciences.

Research Projects

Combat Modeling: Kinds of Areas
Miltary Modeling Resources


Dr. J.O Miller


Future Operations Investigation Laboratory

Foil - a light flexible weapon
Foil - to prevent from accomplishing a purpose to cut the ground from under
Foil - a character whose qualities or actions serve to emphasize those of the protagonist or of some other character by providing a contrast with them 

All of these definitions can be applied to operations in today&rsquo s and tomorrow&rsquo s conflict spaces
Lab provides operational analysis and research into asymmetric, counter insurgency conflict in the 22nd century

Future combat operations are unlike past conventional wars

Communications differences
Counter insurgency against nontraditional guerrilla forces
Deterrence in Unrestricted Warfare
A War of Will
Key to success will be

Measures, Models and Analysis to support such efforts,
Develops and Incorporates the concepts and practices of DIME and PMSEII into modeling.
Key Thrusts

Information Operations Modeling and Analysis Project (IOMAP)
The Behavioral Operations Research Group (BORG)
Reconstruction and Stabilization Research Team (RESTART)
Director: Richard F. Deckro
Post Doc: Jerome W. O'Neal
Doctoral Students: Maj Kevin Kennedy, USAF Maj Kevin Calhoun, USAF Mr. James F. Morris


Welcome to the Center for Operational Analysis

Conducting Operationally Relevant Research for
the Air Force and DoD

The Center for Operational Analysis conducts operations and logistic research that directly impacts the Air Force and the Department of Defense. We accomplish this mission through faculty led, student driven research along with our technical knowledge while maintaining close working ties with our research sponsors and affiliates who provide the subject matter expertise to truly understand the operational requirements. In a time when the Air Force and the Department of Defense are looking for improved efficiencies and greater effectiveness, the COA provides a means to achieve these results. Please e-mail me with your questions.

I encourage you to explore our website and see the past and current research that delivers operational impact. The COA is a forward looking organization that is interested in addressing the toughest technically challenging issues facing our Air Force and the Department of Defense. I would be happy to discuss where research with the Center for Operational Analysis may be able to assist
your organization.

Major Brian Stone, Ph.D.
Director, Center for Operational Analysis


Manpower Personnel Modeling Lab

                Matthew “JD” Robbins
                Raymond R. Hill
The Manpower Personnel Modeling Lab (MPML) directs research that applies operations research methodologies and statistical analysis techniques to issues facing the manpower and personnel arenas.   Pertinent topics include statistically defendable models of retention behavior, studies concerning the implications of various personnel programs, and the effects of external stimuli on the retention behavior of the active duty military within the Department of Defense.


Science of Test Research Lab 

                Raymond R. Hill
                Brian B. Stone
                OSD DOT&E
The Science of Test Research Lab supports the department’s activities within the Science of Test Research Consortium. The research applies state-of-the-art statistical and experimental design methods to advance the statistical rigor and mathematical foundations of activities within the test and evaluation community. The research outputs are intended to improve the “science of test” within the DoD and the Air Force. Collaborations include the University of Arkansas, Arizona State University, and the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.